Friday, June 12, 2009

Probababababababababability

Greetings friends,

One day I was contemplating the issues of the world, and the word probability came to mind. It's quite ridiculous. Allow me to illustrate h-why.

Suppose something really bad has a chance, no matter how small, that it may happen to you (e.g. A terrorist hijacks a fighter jet then does a zillion loops over Sydney so everyone sees then drops a bomb so it precisely hits you and blows you up as you are reading this, with no one else harmed at all). OK that might be an exaggeration.

But seriously, something like you missing out on something that everyone else can achieve insanely easily, that relies partly on luck.

So someone tells you the chance of the crap thing happening is something like 0.000000000000000000001%. So you feel reassured right?



WRONG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!




And guess what happens next? The 99.999999999999999999999999999% magically escapes you and the infinitesimally small chance happens to you.

Yeah, even if it's so small an electron microscope will have trouble looking for it.

So really, maybe we should just ignore speculating too much unless it is for the good of all humanity.

Going off on a tangent (which isn't normal HAHA geddit?), it annoys me a bit how some people furiously speculate who will mark English exams. What's the point? In the actual HSC you won't know anyway.

Anyway

If you try reassuring yourself something isn't going to happen, guess what? IT WILL.

Allow me to illustrate:

Example:

SMH article about planets colliding


Read it, some small chance right? Bet it will happen.

I guess probability is useful. Work out something then think the opposite. Like reverse psychology.

Enough from me today

FAREWELL!!!!!!

7 comments:

  1. Haha, I believe this is the exact same thing I pointed out in Musings of a Man™. Or one of my other posts.

    BUT YES. You are korrect.

    Probash-beep-ity.

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  2. Just goes to show that we shouldn't be smug with our lives and say everything is going to be fine...meh

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  3. Haha. I get the Tanget Normal joke.
    Congradulations! Thats one major feat for you!

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  4. LOL

    ;D (nice tangent/normal joke :)

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  5. i bet it's gonna be steele/mason. Mcfadyen + ballantyne did it last time, st louis busy, billing holidaying. mayers?

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  6. LAst time it was Billings and Mac-man. The time before was McIntosh and Bal.

    I heard from the resident English-exam-marker speculator (no names mentioned) that it was Steele and someone else unknown.

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  7. LAME JOKE. XD

    the probability of alan stealing my pencil case tomorrow. 99.95% - the exact number as my future ATAR =)

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